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East African regional relations face a period of flux

Wednesday, September 8, 2021

Significance

This may have a profound effect on East Africa’s two main regional blocs -- the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and the East African Community (EAC).

Impacts

  • Trade tensions fuelled by incompatible COVID-19 strategies could ease after Burundi and Tanzania changed tack.
  • Tanzanian re-engagement could help reinvigorate stalled regional infrastructure projects.
  • Ethiopia may try to revive region-wide Nile Basin Initiative water talks, partly to isolate Egypt, partly to restore its own standing.

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