East African regional relations face a period of flux
Wednesday, September 8, 2021
Significance
This may have a profound effect on East Africa’s two main regional blocs -- the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) and the East African Community (EAC).
Impacts
- Trade tensions fuelled by incompatible COVID-19 strategies could ease after Burundi and Tanzania changed tack.
- Tanzanian re-engagement could help reinvigorate stalled regional infrastructure projects.
- Ethiopia may try to revive region-wide Nile Basin Initiative water talks, partly to isolate Egypt, partly to restore its own standing.