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Rising southern conflict threatens Yemen’s future

Friday, July 16, 2021

Significance

The Hadi government and the STC have been slow to implement the November 2019 Riyadh Agreement on power-sharing in the south. Tensions have again been rising between the two sides in recent weeks, with each making contradictory appointments to official positions in Aden.

Impacts

  • Emirati backing could encourage the STC to control Hadi’s government, undermining its anti-Huthi offensive in Marib.
  • Saudi Arabia could further boost support for pro-Hadi forces because of UAE tensions, and strengthen them on the Marib front.
  • Increased fragmentation of the political spectrum will make a long-term solution to the country’s crisis even more unlikely.
  • The suffering and despair of millions of Yemenis will intensify.

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