Chile constituent elections will usher in uncertainty

Significance

Moreover, the results suggest that Chile’s next president, to be elected in November, may not come from either of the two coalitions that have dominated politics since 1990.

Impacts

• The convention’s composition, which was at odds with all forecasts, will itself increase uncertainty.
• The emergence of leaders able to broker agreements across ideological lines will be key for the convention’s success.
• The economic effects of the constitutional convention will be apparent in 2022, rather than this year.
• A member of the Communist Party is likely to be a strong presidential contender in November.