Protest movement may fail to challenge Mali's military

Significance

Since then, the movement has had an ambivalent relationship with the transitional government that took over in October, as some M5-RFP sided with the junta and others opposed it. Parts of the M5-RFP have threatened to resume protests in mid-May.

Impacts

• Protests by the M5-RFP could amplify the impact of a threatened strike by the National Union of Malian Workers.
• Resistance from the M5-RFP could complicate plans to pursue a constitutional referendum, which had already failed under Keita in 2017.
• The M5-RFP’s calls to revise the 2015 Algiers Accord could cause unease among northern ex-rebels and France.