Jordan’s king will face rising popular pressures

Significance

Former Crown Prince Hamzah was placed under house arrest on April 3, as 20 other people were detained. His release of audio and video material that undermined the official position embarrassed the government, and the recent public reconciliation leaves his status unclear.

Impacts

• Despite the aspersions cast on Riyadh, Gulf states will send further financial aid to boost stability and compete for influence.
• Another government reshuffle and further changes within the security services are likely.
• Relations between Abdullah and Hamzah will remain troubled, as the latter seeks to remain relevant in case an opportunity presents itself.