Biden’s Taiwan policy will be softer but still solid

Significance

His successor, Joe Biden, with a more international outlook and a less confrontational approach to Beijing, may nonetheless be better able to promote Taiwan’s prosperity and security.

Impacts

• China-US economic ‘de-coupling’ could benefit Taiwan.
• Biden will support continued arms sales to Taiwan, but attempt to slow their pace and scale.
• Biden will resist starting talks on a free trade agreement with Taiwan, but pressure from Congress makes it a possibility.