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Israel-Iran escalation is possible before end-2020

Wednesday, December 9, 2020

Significance

The killing is widely attributed to Israel's intelligence agency, Mossad. Amir-Abdollahian also suggested that Israel could not have been acting alone, pointing the finger at Washington.

Impacts

  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could pay a price for escalatory action in his relationship with US President-elect Joe Biden.
  • Other Iranian scientists may feel increasingly insecure and ultimately consider moving away from their involvement in the nuclear project.
  • If an Iranian retaliation were high-profile or high-casualty, the Israeli military response would be immediate and disproportionate.
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