South Sudan's politics constrains the economic outlook

Significance

In practice, politics remains mired in factional corruption, and the economy is stagnant. Poverty and food insecurity levels are alarmingly high, and other human development indicators are extremely poor.

Impacts

• South Sudan will attract little large-scale investment, domestic or foreign.
• Depreciation and inflation rates will be volatile.
• International aid will remain overwhelmingly focused on humanitarian assistance.