Mexico presidents referendum will not reduce impunity

Significance

The referendum, which will take place in 2021, requires approval in both chambers of Congress, but given the dominance of AMLO’s National Regeneration Movement (Morena) it is likely to pass.

Impacts

• Mexico has laws under which corrupt politicians can be investigated and tried, but enforcement will be deficient without political will.
• Ambiguity around the consultation will necessitate further legal interpretation, risking conflict between lawyers and the government.
• The referendum will fuel corruption rhetoric and suspicion, exacerbating political polarisation ahead of the 2021 elections.