Alliances will be key for Mexico’s opposition in 2021

Significance

Alleged coalition members deny its existence, but speculation about its possible activities looks set to heighten political tensions ahead of the elections.

Impacts

• Up to seven new political parties might contest the 2021 elections, four of which are sympathetic to the government.
• Maintaining a legislative majority will be crucial if Morena is to pass its agenda ahead of the 2022 presidential recall vote.
• The outcome of next year’s gubernatorial races will create a new electoral map that will be the basis of the 2024 national elections.