Ukraine clashes reflect and worsen diplomatic impasse

Subject

Ukraine fighting and diplomacy.

Significance

A recent upsurge in fighting in eastern Ukraine comes after talks mediated by Germany and France revived hopes of a political settlement. Despite this optimism, there is little common ground on the contours of an eventual deal.

Impacts

• Falling popularity ratings underline that the Ukrainian president has limited time in which to produce a deal.
• Elliptical comments by the president indicate he is at least considering a cabinet reshuffle.
• 'Grey zones' between the front lines will be areas of covert contestation.