Rising Guinean instability will prompt uprising fears

Significance

The FNDC, comprising the main opposition parties and civil society groups, claims that Conde favours a new constiitution to get around the two-term limit that would oblige him to step down this year. They have vowed to intensify demonstrations until the proposal is abandoned. The worsening unrest is prompting growing disquiet regionally and among the country’s international partners.

Impacts

• Rising political instability, coupled with increased public-sector unrest, will hinder economic growth this year.
• Concerns will grow over potential military upheaval given the security forces’ history of intervening during political crises.
• The bulk of unrest will likely be centred on suburbs of the capital Conakry and towns with strong opposition support.