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Russian protest crackdown reflects elite concerns

Thursday, August 1, 2019

Significance

Peaceful protests against official attempts to disqualify opposition candidates from Moscow council elections were met with a level of force not seen in the capital since 2012, with over 1,300 arrests.

Impacts

  • Further heavy-handed responses may not galvanise further protests but will undermine government legitimacy.
  • While this is not beginning of the end for either regime or opposition, any earlier truce between them looks untenable.
  • Tensions between the regular police and the National Guard will likely grow, especially as police are forced into public order roles.
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