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Ruling Polish party looks set for autumn election win

Monday, July 1, 2019

Subject

The European elections in Poland.

Significance

In the past few months, each of Poland’s political forces has striven to create a momentum of successive election success for the 2019-20 election cycle. In the aftermath of the European Parliament (EP) elections, it seems only the governing Law and Justice (PiS) party has succeeded in doing so.

Impacts

  • If PiS wins the Sejm elections with a sufficiently large majority, it will begin preparing to change the constitution.
  • Emboldened by the election result, PiS will now seek to take over private media outlets under the slogan of ‘repolonisation’.
  • Despite increased spending commitments, the government expects the 2019 budget deficit to remain relatively low at 1.7% of GDP.
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