German foreign policy faces testing waters

Subject

Germany's foreign policy.

Significance

The uncertainty of the transatlantic relationship and the growing need for Europe to 'go it alone' are raising questions about aspects of Germany's commitment to multilateralism which went unasked during times of stronger transatlantic ties. At the same time, the deepening fragmentation of the party system is making it harder for Berlin to devise an assertive and coherent foreign policy.

Impacts

• German nationalism could spread if a euro-area crisis ignites and requires German financial support for southern European countries.
• Germany and France will compete with each other for the position of the European Commission president.
• EU divisions will become more apparent on Brexit as trade relations and economic concerns take on a greater role in negotiations.