Insecurity will weigh on Mozambique post-poll outlook

Significance

Those on trial include suspects accused of involvement in the initial attacks last year in Mocimboa da Praia. While there has been a recent lull in terrorist activity, insecurity is still weighing on investment decisions.

Impacts

• The government's fiscal position will remain precarious ahead of the 2019 polls due to debt payment delays and ongoing talks with creditors.
• Growing election support and turnout for RENAMO could see FRELIMO increasingly attempt to stifle independent institutions.
• International NGO scrutiny over major resource investments may grow but with likely limited impact on operations.