Boko Haram will pose renewed threat to Nigeria’s army

Significance

The attacks come on the back of a general uptick in violence by the terrorist group both in north-east Nigeria and across its borders. The renewed violence suggests that even in its current degraded and divided state, Boko Haram’s various factions retain the capacity to hurt civilians and security personnel in north-eastern Nigeria and disrupt crucial humanitarian efforts.

Impacts

• Renewed violence in north-eastern Nigeria will hamper the delivery of vital humanitarian assistance and government resettlement efforts.
• Despite current divisions, growing military successes by Boko Haram’s competing factions could potentially facilitate closer coordination.
• Growing terror attacks could reduce the impetus for the military to address human rights concerns or decommission local vigilante groups.