King Salman on June 21 named his 31-year-old son to succeed him, dismissing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Nayef from all positions, including that of interior minister. Mohammed bin Nayef led the kingdom’s internal security efforts for over a decade.
- Mohammed bin Salman is hawkish on Iran, increasing the risk of bilateral confrontation.
- It is possible that the king might abdicate in favour of his son, especially if his health deteriorates.
- Former King Abdullah’s son Mit’ab could be replaced as head of the National Guard by a Salman loyalist.