Wednesday, May 31, 2017
Earlier this month, the South African Council of Churches (SACC) and the Public Affairs Research Institute (PARI) released separate reports alleging a corrosive process of ‘state capture’ by influential business figures. Meanwhile, officials in the ANC’s alliance partners -- the South African Communist Party (SACP) and the Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU) -- are openly calling for Zuma's resignation.
- If Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma triumphs in the ANC's leadership contest, COSATU could withhold support for the party at the 2019 elections.
- Support for both the Democratic Alliance and the Economic Freedom Fighters will increase and hasten formal national coalition talks.
- The nascent left-wing United Front movement could draw support from the ANC if a coalition with new trade union SAFTU is formalised.
- Racial polarisation could worsen as ANC populists blame 'white monopoly capital' and 'foreign agents' for government failings.