Fidesz looks set to win another Hungarian election

Subject

Pre-election politics.

Significance

The election campaign has started early, almost a year before the polls. Prime Minister Viktor Orban has already moved against an international university and independent civil society organisations, prompting opposition from many young people. He faces trouble in Brussels, including within his own party group. At home, opposition lines are being redrawn, with a new player, Momentum Movement, on the ascent.

Impacts

• The European Commission will face increasing pressure from the European Parliament to take a tougher stance on Hungary.
• Internal strife will hit the European People’s Party as members push to exclude Fidesz.
• With Fidesz’s continued electoral success at home, Orban’s formula may be copied in Europe and beyond.