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Rwandan agriculture strategy unlikely to be replicated

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Subject

Rwandan agricultural interventions.

Significance

On May 15, the IMF completed its latest Article IV consultation and review with Kigali, predicting a return to growth of 6.2% per annum. According to the Fund, the main driver of this rebound is the agricultural sector, which is rapidly recovering from a severe drought in 2015-16. President Paul Kagame’s ambitious national development plan, Vision 2020, aims for the country to achieve middle income status by 2025, with transformation of the agricultural sector crucial to this.

Impacts

  • The government’s drought response will boost Kagame’s popularity among poorer rural households.
  • However, if Kagame steps down after his next term in office, this could create disorder across many sectors.
  • National-level disaster responses will prove more effective than their East African Community (EAC) equivalent.
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