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China visit could be crucial for Philippines’ Duterte

Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Significance

This follows the first ASEAN Summit that Duterte headed as ASEAN’s chair for 2017, where his pro-China foreign policy was evident.

Impacts

  • Should the Trump administration take a less active role in ASEAN’s institutions, this will strengthen China’s hand.
  • Maritime spats could be prominent when the Philippines chairs the ASEAN Regional Forum (August) and East Asia Summit (November).
  • Philippine public scepticism over China could see protests as closer bilateral ties are pursued.
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