Moscow will test German pragmatism

Subject

Germany’s relations with Russia.

Significance

The contrast between the commercial imperative of stability and the current levels of political volatility and unpredictability is clear in the tensions associated with relations between Germany and Russia. The interdependence of the two economies has led to a pragmatic and pacific approach on the part of successive German administrations.

Impacts

• Despite scepticism in some countries, the EU is likely to renew sanctions against Russia in July.
• Any Russian attempts to influence the general election in September through 'fake news' or cyberattacks would increase tensions.
• A left-wing coalition involving the SPD, the Left Party and the Greens after the next election would soften Germany’s stance towards Russia.