Revived Russian-Turkish gas project is less ambitious
Tuesday, August 23, 2016
Subject
The decision to restart the TurkStream natural gas pipeline from Russia to Turkey.
Significance
The agreement on August 9 between Russian and Turkish Presidents Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan to resume the TurkStream project relaunches their partnership in the energy sector. This had been frozen as a result of Turkey's shooting down of Russian Su-24 jet last November.
Impacts
- Turkey could start importing up to 15.75 bcm additional natural gas under the Black Sea by 2019.
- Such a reduced amount compared with the original plan would seem to allow room in the Turkish gas market for rival suppliers.
- TurkStream could be extended into the EU only if the European Commission and Gazprom compromise on third-party access to the pipeline.