The prospect of renewed conflict looms in Juba

Significance

The escalation in conflict risks fuelling further violence in the capital and around the country. The fighting is detrimental to an ailing peace agreement and the economy.

Impacts

• Risks of atrocities and massacres have increased significantly.
• Violence in Upper Nile and Unity states would serve as a flashpoint for deeper fragmentation.
• The economy will deteriorate as the security situation escalates.
• The humanitarian toll on civilians will rise amid an emergency response already facing funding constraints.