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Germany's SPD will struggle to emerge from low point

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Subject

Germany's Social Democrats.

Significance

Following two humbling defeats in the latest round of state elections in March 2016, the centre-left Social Democrats (SPD), junior partner in Chancellor Angela Merkel's coalition government, hit an all-time low in the national polls at 20% in May.

Impacts

  • The pressure on the party leadership may make the SPD a less predictable coalition partner for Merkel.
  • Over the coming year the CDU may explore the option of forming a government with the Greens after the 2017 election, replacing the SPD.
  • The SPD may benefit from CDU attempts to win back some right-wing voters ahead of the election.

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