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Turnbull is the narrow favourite in Australia election

Content type:: Expert Briefings
Location:: AUSTRALIA
Keywords associated with this article:: Geographic: Australia AP China East Timor Papua New Guinea

Topical: economy international relations politics social border conflict debt election fiscal foreign policy government immigration natural resources opposition party refugees regional regulation technology unions
ISSN:: 2633-304X
Citation:: Oxford Analytica (2016), "Turnbull is the narrow favourite in Australia election", Expert Briefings.
https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB211028

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Significance

Turnbull's governing Liberal-National Coalition is currently neck-and-neck with Leader of the Opposition Bill Shorten's Labor Party in opinion polls. If Turnbull is defeated, Shorten will become the sixth Australian prime minister in nine years.

Impacts

A Labor victory would provide East Timor with a more favourable partner for resolving the Timor Sea boundary dispute.
Candidates backed by independent Senator Nick Xenophon could pick up some upper house seats.
Government submarine-building contracts in South Australia may give the Coalition an electoral bump.

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Significance

Impacts

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