Laos's 2016 ASEAN chairmanship will be challenging
Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Subject
Outlook for Laos's 2016 chairmanship of ASEAN.
Significance
Laos chairs ASEAN in 2016, its second chairmanship. Yet 2016 promises a more demanding and complex chairmanship for Vientiane than 2004.
Impacts
- Minor advances in implementing the Declaration on the Code of Conduct over the South China Sea are possible.
- Yet the Code itself will not be agreed in 2016.
- Laos-US ties will expand in 2016.
- Beijing-Washington competition over Laos as a proxy for their regional influence will grow.
- Indonesia and Malaysia will probably drive ASEAN's anti-ISG efforts in 2016.