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Poll win will boost premier of Azerbaijan secession

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Subject

The parliamentary election in Nagorno-Karabakh.

Significance

The newly elected 33-seat legislature in the self-declared Nagorno-Karabakh Republic (NKR, which no UN member state recognises as independent) now comprises five political parties and blocs, with the prime minister's party garnering slightly fewer than half the seats. With a new parliamentary coalition to be formed, positioning will now begin for the presidential election NKR will hold in 2017, as the incumbent is in his second and final term.

Impacts

  • The strong showing of the premier's party will bolster his bid to run as Karabakh's next president in two years.
  • However, new parties in parliament may challenge the incumbent leadership, and coalition politics may prove testy.
  • Armenia, which negotiates for Karabakh in peace talks with Azerbaijan, may seek to strengthen its influence in Stepanakert.

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