Friday, January 23, 2015
China's relations with Afghanistan.
Reports have emerged over the course of this month that China has been mediating between the Kabul government and the Taliban. It hosted a Taliban delegation in November 2014 and hosted President Ashraf Ghani the previous month, on his inaugural trip abroad after he formed his national unity government in September.
- Chinese investment in infrastructure, especially in extractive industries, will improve Afghanistan's potential for all foreign investors.
- Cheaper funding and labour could make Chinese firms tough competitors for other countries' in infrastructure and extractive industries.
- An influx of Chinese workers could generate friction with local communities and become a contentious point in Afghan politics.
- Projects will suffer delays due to the uncertain security outlook, compounded by Beijing's reluctance to provide security guarantees.
- For China to send troops, even at Kabul's request, would be a radical departure.