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The adoption and institutionalization of governmental foresight practices in Singapore

Eddie Choo (Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, Singapore)
Alessandro Fergnani (Department of Management and Organisation, National University of Singapore Business School, Singapore)

Foresight

ISSN: 1463-6689

Article publication date: 18 October 2021

Issue publication date: 14 February 2022

413

Abstract

Purpose

The aim of this study is to trace the factors that have contributed to the adoption and institutionalization of foresight practices within the Singapore Public Service, Government of Singapore.

Design/methodology/approach

This study discusses the history of the adoption and institutionalization of foresight practices in the Singapore Government; this study has carried out content analysis of secondary literature and conducted 11 in-depth semi-structured interviews with elite informants.

Findings

This study finds that the adoption and institutionalization of foresight practices in the Singapore Government was brought about by a combination of five factors. The most foundational factor in our model is the role of institutional entrepreneurs, who drew upon the symbolic representation of Singapore’s vulnerability to legitimize the use of foresight, thus resonating well with local technocratic groups to maintain steady economic progress. This study further argues that the underdevelopment of foresight in the local private and academic domains can be at least in part explained by the historical connotations of foresight that were uncovered.

Research limitations/implications

As the findings are fruit of the authors’ interpretation of the secondary literature/interview data, they require further triangulation by future research.

Originality/value

This study presents the interpretation of elite informants’ accounts and historical documents to explain one of the most exemplar yet classified case studies of governmental foresight globally.

Keywords

Citation

Choo, E. and Fergnani, A. (2022), "The adoption and institutionalization of governmental foresight practices in Singapore", Foresight, Vol. 24 No. 1, pp. 19-36. https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-10-2020-0103

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2021, Emerald Publishing Limited

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