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How will the recession affect crime rates in Greater Manchester?

Chris Fox (Professor of Evaluation at Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK)
Kevin Albertson (Acting Head of The Department of Economics at Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK)
Mark Ellison (Senior Research Assistant at Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK)
Tom Martin (Post‐graduate Student based at Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK)

Safer Communities

ISSN: 1757-8043

Article publication date: 15 July 2011

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to explore what impact the recent economic recession and ongoing economic difficulties experienced in the UK might have on crime in Greater Manchester.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, we summarise existing literature on the relationship between crime trends and economic trends. Then, drawing on data on crime, the economy and other relevant socio‐demographic trends in Greater Manchester some broad conclusions are drawn about likely crime trends in Greater Manchester over the coming years.

Findings

The paper concludes that recent reductions in crime might not be sustained, with crime rates in Manchester City's most vulnerable council area levelling out or even rising. This is particularly likely of the rate of violent crime.

Research limitations/implications

This work is part of an ongoing project based at Manchester Metropolitan University to predict future crime trends in Greater Manchester.

Originality/value

This paper will be of value to police forces and local authorities, principally when conducting their strategic assessments.

Keywords

Citation

Fox, C., Albertson, K., Ellison, M. and Martin, T. (2011), "How will the recession affect crime rates in Greater Manchester?", Safer Communities, Vol. 10 No. 3, pp. 17-30. https://doi.org/10.1108/17578041111171050

Publisher

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Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2011, Emerald Group Publishing Limited