To read the full version of this content please select one of the options below:

Modelling rental change across key retail investment markets in Britain: Valuation and measurement considerations

Peter F. Colwell (Department of Finance, College of Commerce and Business Administration, University of Illinois at Urbana‐Champaign, Champaign, Illinois, USA)
Catherine Jackson (Cass Business School, City University, London, UK)

Journal of Property Investment & Finance

ISSN: 1463-578X

Article publication date: 1 October 2004

Abstract

Models of the commercial property market have become increasingly sophisticated in recent years. However, the retail sector and, more specifically, analysis of retail markets at the local level, have been comparatively neglected. This paper makes inroads into this gap in property research. Retail rental change at the local level is explored, focusing on consumer expenditure as the key determinant of change. The appropriateness of proxy variables is investigated and the mechanisms of rental change are examined. This highlights issues and difficulties unique to local level analysis. Following this, the relationship between rental change and underlying changes in consumer expenditure is investigated. The stability of a panel model of rental change is examined, with differences in market functioning identified across diverse groups of key local retail investment markets. These differences highlight the re‐emergence of northern markets during both the economic decline and recovery phases of the last decade of the 20th century. Rental levels in larger and smaller markets are also seen to respond to changes in consumer expenditure to significantly different degrees, in periods of both decline and recovery.

Keywords

Citation

Colwell, P.F. and Jackson, C. (2004), "Modelling rental change across key retail investment markets in Britain: Valuation and measurement considerations", Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Vol. 22 No. 5, pp. 354-385. https://doi.org/10.1108/14635780410556861

Publisher

:

Emerald Group Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2004, Emerald Group Publishing Limited