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High numbers of unproductive firms will cut GDP growth

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Low interest rates and easy financing conditions in major economies have triggered a search for yield on the part of investors flushed with liquidity and this has allowed…

Higher rates for longer will fuel corporate distress

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INT

Firms need to repay or roll over some USD5.5tn of corporate debt obligations in 2024, with interest rates still high

Prospects for the global economy in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Europe and the United States may slip back into recession in the northern hemisphere winter. If vaccination succeeds, the advanced economies will recover robustly from mid-2021…

Greece must grow faster to meet primary budget targets

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GREECE

Ahead of the elections, public attention was firmly focused on the state of the economy, particularly budget execution and foreign direct investment (FDI). The issue of social…

The stimulus schemes will stress the financial system

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INTERNATIONAL

While the Federal Reserve (Fed) rejects negative interest rates, and instead considers yield-curve control, even the prospect of negative US rates is accentuating distortions in…

Prospects for the global economy in H2 2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Labour and housing markets are slowing very gradually, but the strength of services is preventing a faster fall in headline inflation. The pass-through effects of interest-rate…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2022

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PROSPECTS

Prospects for the global economy to end-2022.

Prospects for the global economy in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the global economy in 2023.

Euro-area bonds may offer NYTM for decades, or forever

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INTERNATIONAL

NYTM -- Japan and the euro-area.