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Libya intervention will heighten Egypt security risks

Location:

EGYPT

The government faces three security challenges: an intensifying jihadist insurgency in North Sinai; a persistent campaign of sabotage from Muslim Brotherhood-connected underground…

Fezzan will be bargaining chip in Libya conflict

Location:

LIBYA

The Fezzan, Libya's vast southern region, has strategic value given its location and natural resources. Control over it, however tenuous, offers advantage now that the tide of the…

United States will pursue modest goals in Syria

Location:

SYRIA

In September 2014, the United States and coalition partners began an air campaign against Islamic State group (ISG) in Syria following its seizure of large swathes of northern and…

Jordan will seek Syrian regime help on border security

Location:

SYRIA/JORDAN

Jordan's Syria policy.

Defeat of Aleppo rebels will boost Syrian al-Qaida

Location:

SYRIA

The encirclement of eastern Aleppo is the latest in a series of heavy blows to the rebel movement since Russian military intervention began in September 2015. What is left of the…

Ethiopia teeters on the brink of civil war

Location:

ETHIOPIA

These developments threaten to ignite a multi-dimensional civil war pitting Tigrayan against federal and Amhara regional forces.

Military advances harm Ethiopia’s peace prospects

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The announcement followed multiple calls from international actors for a halt to the fighting, amid a massive federal and Eritrean offensive to capture Shire, a strategic and…

Sudan’s offer of mediation in Ethiopia will fall flat

Location:

SUDAN/ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia on August 6 had rejected his mediation offer, saying a lack of trust between the two nations meant Sudan could not be a credible mediator.

Yemen prospects hinge on the battle for a key city

Location:

YEMEN

Despite intensified diplomatic activity this week via Oman, the Huthis have reportedly brought more troops up to the front lines, while the Saudi-led coalition backing the Hadi…

Ukrainian rebels' independence hopes will fade

Location:

UKRAINE

The self-declared Donetsk People's Republic (DNR) and Luhansk People's Republic (LNR) have claimed statehood since 2014, but that may not fit into Russia's plans for a unitary…