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Algeria will pursue stronger ties in the Sahel

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ALGERIA

In February, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune announced that Algeria is planning free trade zones with Niger and Mali, despite increasingly volatile ties with the latter. That same…

Yemen peace talks will gather momentum

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YEMEN

Their resumption follows President Abd Rabbu Mansour Hadi's decision to suspend his government's participation in protest at the Huthi forces' seizure of a military base north of…

Ethiopia’s conflict enters its most volatile phase

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ETHIOPIA

The country is now bracing for an escalating confrontation, despite intensified international efforts to end the conflict.

Libya intervention will heighten Egypt security risks

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EGYPT

The government faces three security challenges: an intensifying jihadist insurgency in North Sinai; a persistent campaign of sabotage from Muslim Brotherhood-connected underground…

EU will struggle to gain post-COVID Balkan influence

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BALKANS

The European Commission has prepared for the summit by making public a package of financial support for the Western Balkans as the region struggles to emerge from the COVID-19…

Ethiopia teeters on the brink of civil war

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ETHIOPIA

These developments threaten to ignite a multi-dimensional civil war pitting Tigrayan against federal and Amhara regional forces.

Prospects for the Middle East in the third quarter

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PROSPECTS 2015 Q3

Prospects for the Middle East in the third quarter.

Benishangul-Gumuz unrest complicates Ethiopia’s crisis

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ETHIOPIA

The attacks were apparently orchestrated by armed vigilantes from the Gumuz ethnic group targeting people mainly of Amhara but also of Oromo and Agaw origin. The killings not only…

Military advances harm Ethiopia’s peace prospects

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ETHIOPIA

The announcement followed multiple calls from international actors for a halt to the fighting, amid a massive federal and Eritrean offensive to capture Shire, a strategic and…

Pragmatism will sustain Italy’s support for Ukraine

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ITALY

Allies feared that the election of Meloni and her populist right-wing government last September would threaten Western unity over Ukraine. However, Meloni has used the issue to…