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The Wagner Group threat to Chad may be exaggerated

Location:

CHAD

CHAD: Wagner Group threat may be exaggerated

Damascus’s return to the south may feed future tension

Location:

SYRIA

A six-week offensive regained control over the governorates of Deraa and Quneitra. However, stability has been undermined by recent Islamic State (IS) attacks and fears the area…

Squabbling Syrian rebels will avoid showdown

Location:

SYRIA

In Damascus, HTS collaborated with more moderate groups from the Free Syrian Army (FSA). Elsewhere, however, the rebels are deeply divided. HTS, the latest avatar of the former…

Georgia struggles to stay out of war in Ukraine

Location:

GEORGIA/UKRAINE

The death of a Georgian national in Ukraine spurred controversy when the defence ministry put out an allegedly unauthorised statement blaming former President Mikheil Saakashvili…

Prospects for Ukraine in 2018

Location:

PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for Ukraine in 2018.

Russia seeks mediating but not dominant Libyan role

Location:

RUSSIA/LIBYA

Moscow is increasingly involved in Libya in support of a dual ambition to be taken seriously as a regional power and an honest intermediary. As Turkey takes sides in the conflict…

Syria’s weakened al-Qaida remnants may act as spoilers

Location:

SYRIA

Ansar al-Islam is part of ‘Be Steadfast’ (Fathbutu), a coalition of al-Qaida-linked groups formed in June. Meanwhile, the dominant rebel force in the north, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham…

Ceasefire may ultimately dislodge Turkey from Syria

Location:

TURKEY

Over the last two months, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has deployed Turkish military resources to Libya and the Syrian governorate of Idlib in an attempt to prevent Ankara’s…

South Ossetia border with Georgia will stay tense

Location:

GEORGIA/RUSSIA

Controversial moves to mark the South Ossetia border.