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Prospects for Syria and Iraq in 2016.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB206903
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The timing is broadly in line with the terms of the September 17 Sochi agreement between Russian and Turkish Presidents Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan, which averted a…
Idlib is the location of a nominal de-escalation zone brokered by Russia and Turkey last September. Those countries, along with Iran, held a summit in the Kazakh capital…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB243977
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Regional and global powers will determine whether there will be conflict around the city of Sirte, the scale of the fighting, the short-term future of Libya's oil industry, and…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB254368
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Geographic
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Russia is encouraging a rapprochement between Turkey and Syria that does not explicitly include Iran, a key economic and military backer of the Damascus government. Tehran worries…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275797
ISSN: 2633-304X
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A six-week offensive regained control over the governorates of Deraa and Quneitra. However, stability has been undermined by recent Islamic State (IS) attacks and fears the area…
In Damascus, HTS collaborated with more moderate groups from the Free Syrian Army (FSA). Elsewhere, however, the rebels are deeply divided. HTS, the latest avatar of the former…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB219713
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The US-Russian-Jordanian July 9 agreement on a ceasefire in southern Syria has achieved calm in the area for now. The southernmost ‘de-escalation zone’ on the Syria-Jordan border…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB224013
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The operation has in any case reached an impasse. By sending troops first to Manbij and then to Afrin, Russia has blocked Turkey’s military options in Syria. Syria’s Kurds are…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB220012
ISSN: 2633-304X
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SYRIA: Multiple military pushes will overtake talks