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Expert briefing

Publication date: 20 February 2024

Germany will struggle to meet its defence objectives

Location:: GERMANY

The target will be met through the regular budget and the EUR100bn (USD104bn) special defence fund, which is due to be exhausted by the end of 2027. There is no cabinet consensus…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285357

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Germany

EUR

NATO

Topical

industry

politics

defence

fiscal

government

economy

arms

foreign policy

judicial

military

population

reform

regulation

war

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Executive summary

Publication date: 1 February 2024

Risks will overshadow the region’s economic outlook

Location:: MIDDLE EAST

MIDDLE EAST: Risks will overshadow region's outlook

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284944

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Middle East

ME/NAF

Gulf states

North Africa

Topical

economy

energy

fiscal

foreign trade

growth

oil

prices

reform

shipping

tourism

war

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Executive summary

Publication date: 26 February 2024

Palestinian Authority revival efforts will likely fail

Location:: PALESTINIANS

PALESTINIANS: PA revival efforts will fail

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES285479

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Palestinians

ME/NAF

Israel

United States

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

aid

corruption

foreign policy

reform

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 1 February 2024

Legislative win strengthens Congo president’s hand

Location:: CONGO-KINSHASA

Tshisekedi’s own Union for Democracy and Social Progress (UDPS) becomes parliament’s largest party with 69 seats, while main opposition contender Moise Katumbi’s Ensemble party…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284945

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Congo-Kinshasa

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

social

civil war

corruption

education

foreign policy

government

health

military

mining

party

peacekeeping

policy

reform

war

opposition

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 22 December 2023

Ukraine’s EU membership will not be fast-tracked

Location:: EU

This is a morale booster for Kyiv, but a lengthy accession procedure, likely vetoes from pro-Russian or Ukrainian-neutral governments, and uncertainty over the war’s course will…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284211

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

EUR

Ukraine

Hungary

NATO

Russia

United States

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

politics

defence

foreign policy

integration

security

talks

aid

arms

election

fiscal

foreign investment

judicial

military

reform

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 6 December 2023

Economic pressure will increase on Italian government

Location:: ITALY

The budget will amount to EUR24bn (USD28bn), with a deficit of 4.3% of GDP to support tax cuts and increased spending. The higher-than-expected deficit comes as economic growth…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283829

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Italy

EUR

Topical

economy

politics

debt

fiscal

government

party

pensions

public sector

reform

war

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 4 December 2023

War in Ukraine will revive but not ease EU enlargement

Location:: EUROPE

It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283766

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Europe

EUR

Balkans

Ukraine

Bosnia-Hercegovina

Georgia

Germany

Kosovo

Moldova

North Macedonia

Russia

Serbia

Turkey

United Kingdom

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

integration

reform

talks

treaty

war

election

fiscal

foreign policy

government

security

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Executive summary

Publication date: 19 December 2023

Egyptian fears will rise over Suez Canal revenues

Location:: EGYPT

EGYPT: Fears will rise over Suez Canal revenues

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284111

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Egypt

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

industry

international relations

debt

fiscal

government

growth

reform

shipping

war

gas

oil

tourism

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 15 November 2023

German government will push for EU reforms

Location:: GERMANY

Baerbock used the occasion to push publicly for ambitious EU reform proposals on issues such as qualified majority voting (QMV) and making representation in the European…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283384

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Germany

EUR

France

Ukraine

Topical

international relations

politics

foreign policy

government

party

reform

legislation

opposition

security

war

integration

election

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 6 November 2023

Poland, Czechia and Hungary may join euro, but not yet

Location:: EASTERN EUROPE

The Denkov administration that took office in June has set adopting the euro as a top priority, and blames the previous interim government for Bulgaria’s unpreparedness to join…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283145

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Eastern Europe

EUR

Bulgaria

Czech Republic

Hungary

Poland

Romania

Baltic states

Croatia

Russia

Slovakia

Topical

economy

international relations

politics

exchange rate

integration

monetary

reform

consumer

debt

fiscal

foreign trade

growth

war

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