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RUSSIA: North Caucasus will remain under control
Although criticisms targeting the DSS are long-standing, no recent Nigerian government has attempted major intelligence reforms.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286573
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286369
ISSN: 2633-304X
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NIGERIA: Talks will form part of banditry response
MALI: Some northern rebels may defect to jihadists
Violence also appears to be escalating in Niger since the July 2023 coup there. The ruling military juntas in all three countries have followed the same basic strategy of…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285872
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The Taliban have increasingly fraught relations not only with Shia, most of whom are ethnic Hazaras, but also with other marginalised communities, including Salafis -- a small…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285955
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Beyond the major security and humanitarian concerns this is generating, it has also worried investors who were already hesitant about supporting the restart of liquefied natural…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285826
ISSN: 2633-304X
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PAKISTAN: Pressure will rise on risks to key partner
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286166
ISSN: 2633-304X
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NIGERIA: Government may fail to stem mass abductions