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Expert briefing

Publication date: 28 February 2024

Gulf economies are on a stable track despite risks

Location:: GULF STATES

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285518

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Gulf states

ME/NAF

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Saudi Arabia

United Arab Emirates

Topical

economy

energy

gas

oil

industry

policy

corporate

debt

fiscal

government

investment

shipping

war

international relations

politics

growth

equities

foreign trade

prices

private sector

public sector

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 23 November 2023

Poland’s expected new government faces range of risks

Location:: POLAND

Financial markets are betting that ending the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s eight-year rule will help unlock EU funds, strengthen Poland’s institutions and increase its…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283548

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Poland

EUR

Ukraine

Topical

economy

industry

politics

election

government

growth

opposition

policy

agriculture

equities

exchange rate

finance

fiscal

foreign investment

judicial

legislation

monetary

party

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 September 2023

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

Location:: INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282113

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

United States

China

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

equities

growth

monetary

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 23 June 2023

Turkey’s policy uncertainty will worry investors

Location:: TURKEY

The limited rate hike (annual core inflation is running at 47%) has undermined foreign investors’ hopes that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s new economic team would be free to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280020

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

exchange rate

foreign investment

monetary

prices

fiscal

investment

politics

policy

balance of payments

bonds

equities

government

election

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Executive summary

Publication date: 4 August 2023

Turkish inflation and interest rates will slow growth

Location:: TURKEY

TURKEY: Inflation and interest rates will slow growth

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES281034

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

exchange rate

growth

monetary

policy

prices

equities

fiscal

foreign investment

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 17 April 2023

High-frequency unofficial data to aid US policymakers

Location:: UNITED STATES

However, interest-rate-sensitive sectors such as home improvement are suffering the largest sales declines, according to weekly credit-card spending data. Housing prices also are…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278425

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United States

Topical

economy

consumer

employment

labour

monetary

retail

industry

prices

debt

equities

property

services

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 21 July 2023

Renewed rate rises raise risk of more financial shocks

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

While headline inflation in the United States and the euro-area has fallen steadily, core inflation remains stubborn. The ‘last mile’ of the disinflation process will be the most…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB280687

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

United States

Topical

economy

capital flows

equities

growth

monetary

policy

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 1 February 2023

Turkey’s stock market is set to be highly volatile

Location:: TURKEY

Local investors have used Turkey’s stock market as a hedge against the country’s runaway inflation and government attempts to 'lira-ise' the economy. The market's strong…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275691

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

Turkey

ME/NAF

Topical

economy

bonds

equities

exchange rate

investment

energy

fiscal

monetary

industry

politics

election

government

oil

prices

foreign investment

policy

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 20 September 2022

UK financial markets face severe strains

Location:: UNITED KINGDOM

A combination of surging inflation, a looming recession, a record-high current account deficit and plans to spend GBP150bn (USD172bn) to cap energy prices is creating emerging…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272813

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

United Kingdom

EUR

Topical

economy

bonds

equities

growth

prices

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Expert briefing

Publication date: 29 December 2022

Clash between markets and Fed increases risks in 2023

Location:: INTERNATIONAL

Fed projections suggest that interest rates will rise by 75 basis points (bp) to 5.00-5.25% by end-2023. Bond markets expect rate cuts from mid-year, in effect betting on a sharp…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274944

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic

International

United States

Topical

economy

bonds

capital flows

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finance

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285518

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES281034

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278425

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275691

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272813

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274944

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