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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 18 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

RUSSIA: State will draw down on savings to fund war

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284653

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Russia
RUCIS
Ukraine
Topical
economy
international relations
politics
fiscal
government
growth
monetary
policy
sanctions
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy has recovered somewhat from the one-third contraction in 2022 caused by Russia's invasion. Government spending, mainly on defence, dominates but agriculture has…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 April 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 May 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Banking-sector stability is vital for the functioning of the Russian economy: bank credit is facilitating economic restructuring. Although the sector withstood the first impact of…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 28 July 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

UKRAINE: Improving economy will let rate cuts start

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