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Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:

RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Afghanistan’s economic outlook is bleak

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

Nigeria's pace of reforms will likely slow

Location:

NIGERIA

This period was marked by two dramatic policy moves: the removal of a costly fuel subsidy and a major devaluation of the naira. Both moves are crucial for reforming Nigeria’s…

Credit growth will slow in some Gulf states

Location:

GULF STATES

GULF STATES: Credit growth will slow

Nigeria's Tinubu will struggle with fiscal challenges

Location:

NIGERIA

These subsidies were scheduled to end in June. The Council justified the decision on the need for more preparatory work, particularly by the incoming administration of…

Social pressure may divert Kazakh policy from IMF path

Location:

KAZAKHSTAN

KAZAKHSTAN: Social unrest diverts policy from IMF path

Colombia tax reform and budget will be watered down

Location:

COLOMBIA

Various interest groups, including the private sector, political actors and civil society organisations, are likely to put pressure on the government to reduce its revenue targets…

Turkey’s stock market is set to be highly volatile

Location:

TURKEY

Local investors have used Turkey’s stock market as a hedge against the country’s runaway inflation and government attempts to 'lira-ise' the economy. The market's strong…

Mexico’s external deficits increase but are manageable

Location:

MEXICO

Inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) and remittances should nevertheless finance such deficits comfortably. The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) also holds a substantial stock of…

Mexican public indebtedness will remain restrained

Location:

MEXICO

The government’s prudence should allow it to maintain Mexico’s investment-grade rating, despite lacklustre economic growth and the downgrading of state-owned oil firm Pemex.