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INTERNATIONAL: Growth on slow, steady path amid risks
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286493
ISSN: 2633-304X
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As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285970
ISSN: 2633-304X
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She implied that the role should go to someone from Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Von der Leyen’s message emphasises how far the balance in decision-making on European security…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285866
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB285680
ISSN: 2633-304X
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UNITED KINGDOM: Strikes will jeopardise Sunak's pledge
This creates a clear contextual divide, ahead of consequential European Parliament, US and UK elections in 2024. The inability of the central banks to forecast inflation or growth…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284164
ISSN: 2633-304X
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It proposes fast-tracking the EU membership applications of Ukraine, Moldova and (subject to conditions) Georgia, an unprecedented geopolitical decision. Its recommendations have…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283766
ISSN: 2633-304X
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EU/UK: Delay to EV tariffs is likely
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282415
ISSN: 2633-304X
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ROMANIA/NATO: Bucharest to claim larger role
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282480
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…