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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 April 2024
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The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 March 2024
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The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 September 2023
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The unexpected decision adds significant momentum to Central Europe’s monetary easing campaign, which began in May when Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) reduced its benchmark rate…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 November 2023
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This is the first investment-grade (IG) rating given to Athens by one of the ‘big three’ rating agencies since 2010. The upgrade reflects Greece’s strong post-pandemic economic…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB283186

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Greece
EUR
EU
Germany
Italy
Middle East
Topical
economy
capital flows
debt
finance
fiscal
foreign investment
banking
bonds
equities
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monetary
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 26 October 2022
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The attempt to bolster the forint with a hefty rate rise shows a severe loss of confidence in Hungary’s economy. The highest inflation rate since 1996, the energy shock from the…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273612

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

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Hungary
EUR
EU
Topical
economy
exchange rate
foreign investment
monetary
policy
prices
balance of payments
bonds
capital flows
debt
fiscal
foreign trade
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 September 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

A combination of surging inflation, a looming recession, a record-high current account deficit and plans to spend GBP150bn (USD172bn) to cap energy prices is creating emerging…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272813

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
United Kingdom
EUR
Topical
economy
bonds
equities
growth
prices
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 25 July 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The ECB stopped buying more government bonds under the pandemic-emergency-purchase-programme (PEPP) at the end of March and the asset-purchase-programme (APP) on July 1. Spreads…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB271654

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
EUR
Germany
Italy
EU
Topical
economy
banking
bonds
capital flows
prices
debt
growth
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Executive summary
Publication date: 16 September 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

EU/HUNGARY: Budapest risks serious loss of funds
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 20 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Passage from speculative to investment grade (IG) would mark the end of the sovereign debt crisis besetting the country since 2009. The upgrade would lower government borrowing…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB276143

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Greece
EUR
EU
Topical
economy
politics
debt
election
fiscal
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government
aid
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