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TAIWAN/CHINA: Tensions around Kinmen will persist
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES285859
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB286228
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284951
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Some observers have suggested that this is a sign of an IS-K resurgence. The ruling Taliban have tried hard since their takeover in 2021 to suppress the group, a long-standing…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284996
ISSN: 2633-304X
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CHINA: Beijing will consider commercial retaliation
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES285504
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Pyongyang claims to have tested a new nuclear-capable underwater drone -- Seoul is sceptical -- and North Korea’s foreign minister has visited Moscow. South Korean President Yoon…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284844
ISSN: 2633-304X
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While there is always potential for unplanned escalation, recent incidents in the area are unlikely to change the basic dynamics there: China’s increasing assertion of ‘on-water’…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284558
ISSN: 2633-304X
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TAIWAN: Island will shape China-US ties
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES284516
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The budget is likely to be enacted by the end of the current fiscal year in March 2024. Rapidly increasing military spending reflects drastic changes in Tokyo’s defence policy. On…
It does not reveal critical threats to President Xi Jinping’s authority, deficits that demand fundamental reassessments of the PLA’s development trajectory, or alter assessments…