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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 April 2024
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The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 15 April 2024
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RUSSIA: US raises pressure on China over sanctions
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 April 2024
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The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 April 2024
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Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 11 April 2024
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JAPAN/US: Defence ties will deepen
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 March 2024
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After Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive failed to achieve any of its major objectives, Russia has regained the initiative in the ground war. It captured the frontline fortress…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 27 March 2024
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COLOMBIA: Souring Israeli ties could hit military
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Executive summary
Publication date: 29 February 2024
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RUSSIA: Putin will focus on war and living standards
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 March 2024
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Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 18 March 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA: Limited conflict more likely

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