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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The EU has warned Slovakia that it could face fines or blocked EU funds over concerns that the government’s judicial reforms, particularly those protecting politicians from…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 November 2023
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The Denkov administration that took office in June has set adopting the euro as a top priority, and blames the previous interim government for Bulgaria’s unpreparedness to join…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Eastern EU to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

Governments will rely on EU funding to re-energise their countries' economies, compensating for slowing external demand and depressed consumption. The war in Ukraine will…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Central-East European (CEE) economies grow faster than most in good times but are more vulnerable in bad times, lacking the political and financial capital and competences to…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

National efforts, EU-wide measures, warm weather and low Chinese demand helped them weather the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but partly at the expense of progress on…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 7 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Some countries are dipping into recession, while others are likely to manage modest growth. Their various policy and real-economy responses point to different strengths and…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 17 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Economic hardship may be increasing support for populism and far-right politics, especially in the more vulnerable Slovakia and Hungary. Proximity to the war, including spending…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for the eastern EU in 2023.
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 September 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Flows resumed within days, but the sudden cut-off -- ascribed to overdue transit payments -- highlights Central Europe’s dependence on Russian oil imports and the difficulty of…

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