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Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 February 2024

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…

Executive summary
Publication date: 26 September 2023

RUSSIA: Moscow can afford its spending hike

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES282209

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Topical
Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 September 2023

The size of the rate hike attests to the CBR’s determination to tame domestic price rises at all costs, even though this is likely to restrict credit growth and dampen output. The…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB281638

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 June 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Ukraine to end-2023

This perception can only increase. Essentially, the question is whether Ukraine will be able to make sufficient military gains in order to avoid having to fight -- with all the…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 June 2023

The federal budget deficit target for 2023, set at RUB2.9tn (USD35.8bn), is likely to be exceeded for the second year in a row. Federal expenditure is showing no signs of slowing…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB279533

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Topical
Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 May 2023

Banking-sector stability is vital for the functioning of the Russian economy: bank credit is facilitating economic restructuring. Although the sector withstood the first impact of…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 10 May 2023

It followed the EU’s disbursement on April 25 of a third lending tranche of EUR1.5bn (USD1.65bn) from its EUR18.0bn macro-financial assistance package. In both cases, the money…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 16 September 2022

Shmihal said the budget would be largely covered by IMF, EU and US funds totalling USD3.5bn per month. The unprecedented reliance on borrowing, through domestic bond issuance and…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272781

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 August 2022

Financial flows have all but halted because foreign investment is near-impossible and because capital controls and the risk of asset seizure abroad curb outflows. These dynamics…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB271836

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 September 2022

Russia's banking sector suffered a USD26bn loss in January-June. Russia is shut out of international capital markets and is almost exclusively reliant on domestic investors to…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB272967

ISSN: 2633-304X

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