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Executive summary
Publication date: 27 March 2024

POLAND: Government may regret targeting central banker

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES286134

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 8 March 2024

The NBP is not cutting interest rates further partly because of tensions with Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s pro-EU government, following the defeat of the nationalist Law and…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 December 2023

The move followed a sweeping decree issued on December 20 to reform or eliminate some 300 laws governing economic, labour and social issues, and which has already prompted…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284267

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 January 2024

The new agreement envisages a primary surplus of 2% of GDP, a zero general deficit and reserves accumulation of USD10bn; it includes no new funding. However, the widening gap…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB284724

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 October 2023

The bailout’s second tranche cannot be released until the review is complete. Separately, the government is battling accusations that it is protecting individuals who helped…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 September 2023

However, since the August primaries his goal has shifted to winning the elections, or at reaching a run-off, prompting expansionary policies aiming to improve households’…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB282141

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Brazil in 2024

After a government change in January 2023 following a process clouded by doubts over the resilience of Brazilian democracy, key institutions have strengthened their position, and…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 24 October 2023

The fall appears linked to public discontent over elevated inflation, which has clouded the country's economic outlook. Meanwhile, the government is moving slower than it…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 23 November 2023

Financial markets are betting that ending the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s eight-year rule will help unlock EU funds, strengthen Poland’s institutions and increase its…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 22 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Argentina in 2024

Bond markets have responded positively to Milei’s victory, followed by the announcement that he would re-privatise state oil company YPF and other companies, but domestic exchange…

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